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Tennis - Wimbledon
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OUTRIGHTS
Third 1/4
Looks the weakest 1/4 so taking Berrettini @ 15/1
One from each side of the men's draw
Auger-Aliassime @ 90/1
Tiafoe @ 100/1
and the Championship double
Zverez and Rybakina @ 71/1
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Rublev v Safiullin
Safiullin no mug on clay and I expect him to at least get a set here and run deep in one or two others
Games over 40.5 @ 17/20
Kovacevic v Van der Zandschulp
My feeling is this could go either way so taking the odds against
Kovacevic @ 15/10
Win Double
Fucsovics + Brooksby @ 21/20
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Sinner is rested, as he hasn't played since Roland Garros, but more recently he has become more of a big server and sends more aces.
Bet: Sinner over 12.5 aces @1.91
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Bet: Fonseca win + Fonseca 13+ aces @2.05
Gaston vs Tsitsipas, Tsitsipas 10+ aces
Medjedovic vs Ofner, Medjedovic 10+ aces
Walton vs Prizmic, Prizmic 10+ aces
Treble @2.24
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Virtanen vs Shelton
Borges vs Boyer
Lehecka + Shelton + Borges @2.08
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Sinner over 10.5 aces and win 3-0 @ 8/10
Kwon v Landaluce
Kwon back from military service and has quickly settled. Grass not a great surface for Landaluce so expect a battle here
Match games over 39.5 @ 19/20
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Borges + Gaston + Tirante + Nakashima @ 11/1
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Never know what Mannarino will arrive but De Minaur did beat him on grass last month with the loss of only four games.
De Minaur win 3-0 @ 21/20
I expect Virtanen is young enough to recover from the Shelton match so going
Virtanen + Bergs @ 15/10
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Duckworth v Cobolli
Cobolli has been mostly injured since the French Open and struggled against Navone in the first round. Duckworth has not fared much better recently but should be able to present a better challenge then Navone.
Win Duckworth @ 22/10
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Safiullin v Fonseca
Safiullin has the game but will he bring his brain? Like most Russians you just never know. If he does come to play he will not do it the easy way so taking
Win Safiullin and over 38.5 games @ 17/4
Still have a few rents to sort out but will certainly take a few digs on some of the later matches.
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The Hurkacz serve is very difficult to break when he is on form so I expect a couple of tie breakers here. Will take games and a set double
Match games over 40.5 @ 17/20 Odds were shortening as I got on
Fucsovic has a decent grass court game and I expect him to be competitive here.
Over 3.5 sets in
Hurkacz v Paul and Davidovich Fokina v Fucsovic @ 29/20
Looking for my days upset in the Jodar match where Mochizuki has a grass court game
To win
Mochizuki + Djokovic + Auger-Aliassime @ 7/2
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De Minaur v Svajda
De Minaur does not have the power to overwhelm anyone so his serve can be broken. I expect Svajda to hang in there so taking
Match games over 35.5 @ 19/20
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Lehecka + Bergs @ 12/10
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In the previous round, Anisimova hit 20 aces against Kenin.
I hope she will give us only three today.
Bet: Anisimova over 2.5 aces @2.21
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Dimitrov v Berrettini
If Dimitrov had concentrated on Gran Slams instead of Grand Shags he would have won a handful of Majors by now. Both these players are good on grass but I believe Dimitrov is the cleverer player which gives him the edge.
Win
Dimitrov @ 12/10
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This match will take place tomorrow, but I took this bet early.
Fritz and Bublik are two of the best servers on tour and they are very difficult to take a break from, especially on grass.
Therefore I think this match will have at least two tie-breaks.
Bet: Over 1.5 tie-breaks @2.25
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Djokovic usually cruises past Safiullin but the current Djokovic is not the same as the old model. Safiullin has a good grass game and could sneak a set here and run one or two close
Match games over 36.5 @ 9/10
Hurkacz v Struff
Slightly favor the Hurkacz serve here but certainly not as much as the books do. Odds on Struff just look too long based on Hurkacz's present form.
Win
Struff @ 9/4
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De Minaur over 36.5 games/Dimitrov under 39.5 games @ 5/2
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Was thinking games but the 44.5 seems high. Fritz has won their last 8 H2H's and beat Zverev on grass last month. Thinking Fritz wins here in under five sets
Fritz 3-1 @ 15/4
Will double today's matches
Fritz + Cobolli @ 29/20
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