Nations Championship Round 2, Under-20 World Championship (7–12 July)

The opening week of the Nations Championship delivered some exceptional rugby. From a betting perspective, I came out slightly ahead, with France covering the handicap and England getting over their team points line, although it was harder work than I had anticipated.

 The only disappointing aspect of the weekend for me was watching New Zealand retain possession for the final two minutes against France with no ambition other than to close out the game. I have no issue with the AB's as it is completely within the laws, but I do think the coaches or lawmakers need to find a way to combat it. Imagine a Rugby World Cup final where a team simply decides to hold the ball for five or six minutes to run down the clock?

 Anyway, on to Round 2 of the Nations Championship. Below are my projected handicaps for the weekend:

New Zealand -28.5 v Italy 
Australia +7.5 v France 
Japan +20.5 v Ireland 
Fiji +17.5 v England
South Africa -21.5 v Scotand 
Argentina -8.5 v Wales 

Let me know your thoughts 

 Watching the Argentina v Scotland match last night (has anyone heard from Oracle this morning?), it struck me that the cross-conference format creates an interesting dynamic. Once Scotland had built a commanding lead, they had very little incentive to stop Argentina from claiming both a losing bonus point and a four-try bonus point, as those points have no bearing on Scotland's conference standings.

Five of the six matches comfortably went over the total points line, and I wonder whether that is partly because teams are more willing to keep attacking in high-scoring contests when conceding bonus points has no impact on the their conference.

The final pool matches of the World Rugby Under-20 Championship take place on Tuesday, so there is another exciting week of rugby ahead for punters.

I will be away for the next coupe of weeks but if anything will have more time to focus on the rugby 

That NZ over 34.5 was my only losing rugby bet of a strong rugby punting weekend, so I was also fuming at the 3 minutes of running down the clock. 

think you have a good point their Brent about points.

also now when you look at round 2/3 you see how tough NH sides have it - a huge amount of air miles to travel over rounds 1-3 whereas SH teams are just hopping around Europe in rounds 4-6. Wonder if Ireland and England rest some key players vs Fiji and Japan this weekend.

Was a decent weekend for me thanks to the Welsh win mainly. I now fear a bit of a backlash from the Argies as they were so poor for a lot of the Scottish game. However if they dont improve their defence they will be beatable.

Saturday's Bok team for Scotland game

South Africa: Aphelele Fassi; Edwill van de Merwe, Jesse Kriel, Damian Willemse, Canan Moodie; Handre Pollard, Embrose Papier; Evan Roos, Pieter-Steph du Toit (captain), Paul de Villiers, Ruan Nortje, Cobus Wiese, Wilco Louw, Johan Grobbelaar, Boan Venter.

Replacements: Jan-Hendrik Wessels, Ntuthuko Mchunu, Zach Porthen, Ben-Jason Dixon, Vincent Tshituka, Elrigh Louw, Grant Williams, Quan Horn.

Methinks everyone is underestimating Wales.
2 units each on +16.5 and on the WIN.

Kirky wrote:

Methinks everyone is underestimating Wales.
2 units each on +16.5 and on the WIN.

Steady! Oh, and what meds are you on?

NZ under 20 - OVER 39.5 pts @ 10/11

ARG u20 over 31.5 pts @ 10/11

spain fiji u20  - OVER 9.5 tries @ 8/10

1st chance to compare my handicaps with the bookies (in brackets) 
New Zealand -28.5 (-31.5) v Italy
Australia +7.5 (+7.5) v France
Japan +20.5 (+21.5) v Ireland
Fiji +17.5 (+20.5) v England
South Africa -21.5 (-19.5) v Scotland
Argentina -8.5 (-17.5) v Wales

Wales game the only big difference 

Obviously expecting an Argie backlash but 17.5 ?? More than good enough for me.

My selections for this weekend:

Italy under 15.5 points
Australia v France - Total points Over 62.5
France Over 35.5 points
Japan v Ireland Total tries Over 9.5
Japan v Ireland - First Tryscorer, Jimmy O'Brien @ 10/1
Fiji v England Over 64.5 points
Fiji + 19.5
South Africa -17.5
South Africa by 31-35 points 74/10
South Africa 1st Half Total points over 18.5
Wales +17.5
 

NZ over 7.5 tries @ evens my main play of Sat.

other plays - 

AUS V FRA over 62.5 pts @ 10/11

FIJ V ENG  over 9.5 tries @ 10/11

SA V SCO over 62.5 pts @ 17/20

ARG V WAL - arg over 39.5 pts @ 5/6 (will be my 2nd main play after nz tries)





 

Previews updated on home page 

Folowing South 
Over 7.5 AB tries at 0.89/1 
Australia over 3.5 tries at 0.84/1 
Scotland over 3.5 tries at 25/20 

Darkness looking very ordinary - we need a miriicle bois!!

What a piss poor last 20 mins by the Darkness , against 14 men ffs? Really hacked off with that .......

Last 25 min in fact. That looked absolutely banked at that point. NZ of old score 5 tries in those 25 min against 14. 

a blow to what is an overs betting day for me and feeling nervous now. 

I went Aus +13.5 after the 1st French try ......

Agreed South , I didn't go the tries but went over 48.5 NZ points , was counting the cash around the 60th minute ... 

Awfull display by the Wallabies second half, they have no bench whatsover. 

I'm going to go for the Nips in the next game, plus 18.5 , played in Newcastle Australia , loads of changes for the Irish and hoping the Japs can land a few blows to keep in touch of the cap.