Nations Championship Round 3, Under-20 WC, Currie Cup Rd 1 (13-19 July)

Hi guys, 

A pretty quiet punting weekend for me getting Aussie and Scotland overs tries but missing the AB's over tries for a slight profit 

The U20 Rugby WC semis tonight and here are current handicaps 

France -3.5 v New Zealand 
Goergia -7.5 v Italy 
Ireland -21.5 v Fiji 
South Africa -12.5 v England 

There are aso 4 Nations Championship matches up with the bookies - 2 games to follow 

New Zealand -8.5 v Ireland 
Japan +27.5 v France 
Fiji +15.5 v Scotland 
Argentina -0.5 v England 

The Currie Cup also gets going 

I am on the final leg of holiday this week but will be popping in throughout the week - have a good one 

 

Not overly confident but went FRANCE OVER 32.5 pts @ 10/11 in u20 game today. 

My form on the u20 has gone cold since play offs started, was a complete overs fest in group stages and was a gold mine. 

trying Ireland over 48.5 pts @ 17/20 to recover. Think Fiji played their big game against Spain last week. 

Bleak start to week on a tournament that had been golden. Will end my u20 champs interest now, just can’t be donating back to bookies like this and better rugby to come on weekend. 

I am grateful that my very large betting days are behind me. Generally a few beers these days. My evening bet on the Under 20's was New Zealand and England on the cap which was +3.5 and +15.5. Matches ended at 4 and 16. Believe me there was absolutely no way the books got this close 30 years ago in an Under 20 Tournament. I wish all the youngsters well here and I do hope that AI can make a difference for you.

Wales +41.5?  May the Lord have mercy upon our Welsh souls ........

Two games last weekend ensured a loss for me , firstly Scotland scoring 28 points with gaps the size of the Titanic for tight forwards to run through , I went under 23.5 and followed with the Pumas over 39.5 points , they score 28 in the first half to score 7 only in the second , butchering so many opportunities , like you say Vann this game is not for the faint hearted 

Coil wrote:

Two games last weekend ensured a loss for me , firstly Scotland scoring 28 points with gaps the size of the Titanic for tight forwards to run through , I went under 23.5 and followed with the Pumas over 39.5 points , they score 28 in the first half to score 7 only in the second , butchering so many opportunities , like you say Vann this game is not tfor the faint hearted 

It's not my heart or my maths that's gone to shit, it's the rugby.  But I prefer the game it's morffed into to the old bash-em-ins of old.
My new strategy from now is 1 (1 to 5) unit on a cert, and 1x on an a acca.
Ten other bets at minimum ( R2.00 ZAR ).  Total weekly exposure - R300.00  ZAR
Mmm, but there's still algos and AI to compute.
I've got a feeling that I'm going to listening to end up, at the end of UCL.
listening to the voice in my head shouting "ABORT", "ABORT"..... LOL

Brent's traveling today, here are the links to this weekend's previews and his picks, Argentina vs England to follow later. 

New Zealand vs Ireland Preview  
2 units (1–5): Under 56.5 points at 0.87 with  BetXchange .

Australia vs Italy Preview 
2 units (1–5): Australia over 38.5 team points at 10/11 with  World Sports Betting.  

South Africa vs Wales Preview  
2 units (1–5): Wales +41.5 at 0.92 with  BetXchange .
 

What's happening then gents? Seems to be a lack of interest in the current rugby?!

So far I'm on the Darkness - 10.5 and the Taffs +41.5. Those Irish are overdue a good beating and well,(clutching at straws!) 41 points is a lot even for us leek munchers!

 

Less than 10 hours to kick off and still no betting available on this weekends Currie Cup matches. 

Jameson wrote:

What's happening then gents? Seems to be a lack of interest in the current rugby?!

So far I'm on the Darkness - 10.5 and the Taffs +41.5. Those Irish are overdue a good beating and well,(clutching at straws!) 41 points is a lot even for us leek munchers!


 

Hit and miss for me the last two weeks. Trying my best to improve. Welsh at least arrived for me last weekend, had a shocker with the Boks. Couldn't score over 16.5 points first half, which I thought was a given...

Eden Park record speaks for itself, but reckon the Irish will be just as motivated and comfortably keep it under 10.5. England been around the world the last 3 weeks, think they are only favorite based on their superior H2H record. Argentina due a big performance. Italy without Menoncello and Niccolo Cannone, Aussies struggling for the W. Italy also shocking form away from home. Reckon they can keep it within 16.5. French team selection going all out against Japan, but might ship a few tries as they will have one foot on the plane back home. Over 65.5 points. Fijians have been poor since the change in coaching staff. Leaking tries for fun. Scots made quite few changes for this one, but still have the firepower to put points on the board. Fergus Burke is a more than capable replacement for Finn Russell, been following him since his days with the Crusaders. 0.5unit on Tom Jordan First Tryscorer @ 20/1. With Jameson on the Welsh plus in Durban. 

Ireland +10.5
Italy + 16.5
Jap v Fra Over 65.5 points
Scotland -17.5
Wales +41.5
Argentina W & +1.5
 

a lot of rugby to consider this weekend - 

nz v ire - will be a late call/feel for me, will post if get on but looking for best price on NZ over 4.5 tries. 

jap v fra - conditions will be hot and humid, fra pts line of 46.5 seems big if ball slippery, probably an anytime tryscorer bet for me, jalibert @ 13/8 as he's likely to play full 80 looking at bench.

aus v ita - don't like look of italian side with a few big names out. aus last game under current coaching team, i think they go for it - aus over 5.5 tries @ 10/11 my best nations champs bet of weekend.

fij v sco - lots of changes for scotland so will be looking for best price once more bookies price up on fiji tries, likely over 3.5 but would take over 2.5 if can get 8/10.

rsa v wal - worried about humidity as suggests over 80%, but it's winter? i've not lived in durbs for 25 yrs but i would have thought conditions perfect for rugby. sa over 8.5 tries is ambitious but i'll be looking for best price and see if any poor bookies goes 7.5.

arg v eng - still mulling over this one, likely arg overs for me but sitting for now.



 

PUMAS V SHARKS - pumas over 16.5 1st half pts @ 5/6

Should have kept powder dry until tomorrows games. What has happened to the legendary Currie cup competition? Unknown players, dreadful quality, tiny crowds. It’s such a hard watch. Hopefully things improve as season goes on but just lost so much of its sparkle. 

So true South , them Currie Cup games of old were fantastic , a little behind teh curve at the moment , might get a little better as the season goes on though, lets see . 

Like I mentioned Argentina really rogered me last week with the over 39.5 points , they just looked so lethargic grrrr . However I do like them strongly tomorrow , like a race horse third run after a rest , I'll go for them at plus 1.5 big time that I have seen so far , will look at other markets tonight . 

Early game I am on NZ with the minus , I think Ireland are there for the taking , so far I've taken Ireland under 21.5 points . 
I was really keen to take the plus Italy but they have lost a few good players grrrrr . Powder dry so far . 

NZ over 4.5 tries @ 8/10

Along with all the other rugby there's the small matter of Currie Cup 1st division semi finals later.

EP vs Valke - I hope my EP boys hold on but I fear they could have the wrong favourite here.. Valke +8.5 is a bet

Argentina v England Preview 

England over 4.5 tries at 0.96/1 

Good morning so far, cannot watch Scotland Fiji game so will leave that one and taken Boks over 8.5 tries @ 10/11