The DP World Tour reaches its grand finale this week with the DP World Tour Championship at the Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estates in Dubai, running from 12 to 15 November. It is the final event of the season and brings the Race to Dubai to a close, with the top 50 players on the Race to Dubai standings teeing it up. Matt Fitzpatrick is the defending Champion after beating Rory McIlroy in a playoff last year, while McIlroy heads the market this week at 4.30. We have three selections for the season finale, including the Race to Dubai leader, so here is our full betting preview
Course
The Earth Course is a par 72 designed by Greg Norman that stretches to around 7,700 yards (7040 meters) from the championship tees. It opened in 2009 and hosted the first Dubai World Championship, and it has been the home of the season-ending tournament for many years. The course has a reputation for a tough finish, with the closing holes among the most difficult on the course, so a player can make or lose a lot of ground over the final stretch. That makes patience and a strong short game important, and it is another reason we are leaning towards players who have been here before.
From a betting point of view, the winning scores have been between 15 and 21 under par in the last five years, with Nicolai Hojgaard winning at 21 under in 2023 and last year’s edition going to a playoff at 18 under. Course form is also a big factor here, with Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Matt Fitzpatrick all having won the tournament multiple times, and we are looking for players who have proven they can handle the course and the pressure of the finale.
Past Winners
2025 Matt Fitzpatrick (3) England -18 Playoff
2024 Rory McIlroy (3) (Northern Ireland) -15 2 strokes
2023 Nicolai Hojgaard (Denmark) -21 2 strokes
2022 Jon Rahm (3) (Spain) -20 2 strokes
2021 Collin Morikawa (United States) -17 3 strokes
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Rory McIlroy heads the market at 4.30, with Jon Rahm next at 7.00, followed by Tommy Fleetwood at 12.00 and Adam Scott at 17.00. Tyrrell Hatton and Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra are both priced at 19.00. With McIlroy and Rahm both so short, we have focused on the value further down the market, and we have taken Chacarra and Hatton at 19.00, along with McIlroy at 4.30 because of his record at the course.
Betting (2026 DP World Tour Championship) – Click here to bet
Rory McIlroy 4.30
Jon Rahm 7.00
Tommy Fleetwood 12.00
Adam Scott 17.00
Tyrrell Hatton 19.00
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 19.00
SELECTIONS:
Eugenio Lopez Chacarra at 19.00
Our first pick of the week is the leader of the Race to Dubai, who has everything to play for. Chacarra has been playing well, finishing in the top 25 in all of his last six events. His best finishes from those six were a win at the India Championship, a runner-up finish at the Open de España and a third-place finish at the Open de France. He has had a great season, and he knows that he needs to play well this week to win his first Race to Dubai title. With that run of consistency behind him, we think 19.00 each way is a very good price for a player who has made the top 25 in every one of his last six events.
Suggested bet: Eugenio Lopez Chacarra each way at 19.00
Rory McIlroy at 4.30
Our next pick is McIlroy, and it is all because of his form at the course. Not only has he won there three times, but in his last six starts he has four top 5 finishes and one 6th-place finish. His worst finish in that run was 22nd in 2023, which was the only time he was worse than sixth in his last six starts. He also finished runner-up last year, and he is coming off a solid week in Abu Dhabi last week, where he finished 3rd. At 4.30 each way, we think McIlroy offers very good value at a course where he has been so consistent.
Suggested bet: Rory McIlroy each way at 4.30.
Tyrell Hatton at 19.00
Hatton is coming off the back of a solid performance last week, as he tried to chase down Rahm but couldn’t, missing out by two shots and finishing 2nd. He also has an impressive record in Dubai at the Tour Championship, finishing 16th or better in all of his last six starts. He finished runner-up in 2022 and 6th in 2024, so he knows his way around the course. With that form in Abu Dhabi and his record at this event, we think 19.00 each way is a nice price. A player who has finished inside the top 16 in each of his last six starts here, and who has just finished second, looks very well placed to go well again, and with the market so heavily focused on McIlroy and Rahm at the top, Hatton looks the more attractive each-way option.
Suggested bet: Tyrell Hatton each way at 19.00
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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