URC Round 6, Wales v SA , Eng Prem, Top 14 + other rugby

The international season is just about wrapped up, although we do have Wales v the Springboks this weekend. The handicap should be interesting and I’m expecting plenty of changes from the Boks and reckon the line could look similar to the All Blacks match, somewhere around -28.5.

The URC is back with 8 matches in Round 6, and the blog is up and running . I’m not going to handicap the games at this stage, but I’ll be very interested to see where the opening lines land.

Team news will be crucial, especially after the break.

Have a good week everyone 

Wales v SAf. Nztab opener. they were the first bookmaker in the world to bring out odds for this game.

South Africa is -32.5. With the total at 61.5.

 

Cheers Sportsbettor - team news going to be interesting and I can imagine that cap moving but not sure which way ... 

URC Handicaps – Round 6

Friday 28 November
Dragons +20.5 v Leinster
Ulster -12.5 v Benetton

Saturday 29 November
Bulls -11.5 v Lions
Zebre -5.5 v Cardiff
Edinburgh -18.5 v Ospreys
Munster -8.5 v Stormers
Connacht -8.5 v Sharks
Scarlets +13.5 v Glasgow

Anything stand out to anyone? 

Edinburgh -18.5 ha @1.90 2u

Ospreys missing several players due to international Windows and injuries, expect Edinburgh to going strong so I'd put the line around 23-24 points difference so value in the home side.

Cheers Pablo that looks a good early play 

Wales +37.5 v Boks at Betxchange 

Latest handicaps in brackets, Pablo calling the big mover Edinburgh 

Ulster -12.5 (-14.5) v Benetton
Dragons +20.5 (+19.5) v Leinster
Bulls -11.5 (-11.5) v Lions
Zebre -5.5 (-7.5) v Cardiff
Edinburgh -18.5 (-23.5) v Ospreys
Munster -8.5 (-7.5) v Stormers
Connacht -8.5 (-8.5) v Sharks
Scarlets +13.5 (+13.5) v Glasgow

Wales now +38.5 

That can have my money and I'll pray its not a repeat of 1998 ..... :-o

Ebbw Vale v Carmarthen Quins over 50.5

Rain had cleared and previous meetings between these two have exceeded this.

Edit: Arse - surprised the bet came that close at the end........

Blog updated with officials, weather and some lineups as well as my 1st bet 

Under 50.5 Ulster v Benetton 

Gone Dragons +21.5 at home to Leinster 

I see that SA are taking the piss by playing a Hooker on the wing ....

Also going Dragons +22.5pts (10/11 @Bet 365)
None of the front line Ireland players picked.
Lightweight/callow Leinster locking pair  (Although Snyman is on bench)

Munster going strong with internationals selected. I note Kleyn is missing ( Starting for SA v Wales) Note sure why?
No bet for me as 10.5pts is big concession to the URC leaders

 

Jameson wrote:

I see that SA are taking the piss by playing a Hooker on the wing ....

And its a Professional as well!

I full weekend of lots of rugby , there is also the Summer Cup at Turffontein so I just hope my float lasts. 

The weather in the UK is a little warmer , lots of dew on the grass , but the artificial pitches should be ok. No rain forecast anywhere sadly . 

the boys are brave backing the Dragooons , they are really shite and I havesadly followed on the big plusses many times only to be screwed over . However i do remember one game in 2021 where the Goooons lost 6-7 to Leinster , so with that in mind and a weak Leinster side I shall follow the crowd into teh bomb shelter and take plus 20.5 , I'll also take a little Goons over 13.5 points. 

In Belfast earlier they had a little rain. Ulster are large cap favourites and for me this is potentially an unders at 50.5 and will be joining Brent here . Hoping a weaker Bennetton side struggle to score. 

In the Premiership the hopeless Newcastle welcome Leicester , the cap is out to 13.5 and I still think it's ok. So I'm on the minus there , points hard to tell. 

Lastly , really like Exeter plus 5.5 and going unders in Salford at 47.5. 

 

Im backing these dragons at +34.5 in an acca and I consider it the weakest leg. Theyve stiffed me so many times over the years.

Exeter i do like..

Dregs robbed of a likely draw at the end there - worst ref decision in a long time there.

Still, bet against a Welsh side at your peril!

Rugby sevens
NZ women over 32.5 @ 1.8 2u on Sportsbet
South Africa men -5.5 @ 1.72 1u bet365
waiting for Australia women TT

I couldn't watch either game in the end but it seems the bad weather never arrived in Ulster - lost the overs there but hit the Dragons - small loss compounded by the newsletter Friday night double losing 

Wales v Boks Preview 

Kwagga Last SA Try Scorer at 14/1 

Blog updated with 2 more plays 

Over 48.5 Zebre game 
Over 46.5 Edi game 

A few more bets 

Stormers u18.5 at 9/10 
Wales +42.5 t at 10/11 - its going to be torture to watch