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All Racing Tips w/c 27th July
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Monday 27th July – no local racing
Tuesday 28th July – no local racing
Wednesday 29th July – Scottsville
Thursday 30th July – Vaal
Friday 31st July – Fairview
Saturday 1st August – Turffontein
Sunday 2nd August – Scottsville
All this weeks racing tips are most welcome here
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Scottsville Wednesday
Vaal Thursday
For those looking for some racing interest on Tuesday it is Day 1 at Goodwood in the UK and Hollywood are offering a Punters Challenge competition.
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R1 Noble Horizon 13/2 could still be ahead of its mark despite picking up a penalty after won easy last time out
R5 Vintage Clarets each way shout at 16/1 has some useful form earlier in career, signs of a revival lately which means nicely weighted here
R7 Electricfarhh, backed this one last time out and no show whatsoever, hoping rather than expecting there were valid excuses but no harm in an each way nibble at 16/1
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Race 1 - Scots Wae Hae (12/10) moved up well on debut when third behind Kudikaran. Had a small rest to recover from a swollen left front. Hollywood comments are positive, seems one to keep an eye on for the coming season. Many other in the race with a place chance. Looking at riding arrangements, Kiartay (30/1) doesn't seem to be stable elect but can run into the quartets with the 4kg apprentice allowance.
Race 2 - In The Red (30/1) had excuses in both his last runs behind Eric Dubois and Rich Man's World. Ran under a length second to Kazenoyoni prior to that over C&D. This horse shouldn't be 30/1. Big field so swingers should pay. Scotch Again (5/2) was fancied on debut but got bumped at the start. Arkadin (20/1) has form and could place again with only 53kgs on his back. Watch the betting on Reign Man (13/2).
SW Box 1x6x9
Race 3 - Sparrow Man (23/20) steps up to 1600m and rated by the stable. Swingers with Trip To Venus (11/2) who was unlucky not to win last time out. SW 4X5
Race 4 - Soho Celebrity (23/10) finished runner up behind Christmas Rose over C&D last time out. Christmas Rose was entered for the weekends feature races, but did not make the cut. Hazel Green looks the main danger, but is carrying 4kgs more than Soho Celebrity.
Race 5 - Favorite Sohot Sowhat (21/20) is having her peak run. Top 3 Places on Disting (1/1) who has raced against stronger before.
Race 6 - Coast Of The Sun (4/10) is destined for bigger things. Should canter in here but way too short to back at this price. Klein Karoo top 3 places (19/20). Maingard stable has had a very successful Durban season and Craig Zackey won on him before.
Race 7 - Last Car To Pass (36/10) has form over 1600m and is the stables only runner on the day. Quite a few with chances. Go wide in the P6
Race 8 - Christmas Rose (13/2) mentioned earlier, nice e/w bet at these odds.
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Race 1 Hatteen, not much value at around 2/1 but improving with every run first time in a handicap and rating could be underestimating him
R2 Princess D'Orange, has been a bit in and out as a 2yo but on best form would be in the picture here so 18/1 looks an each way play
R3 Zanthos, at 11/2 gets weight from main rivals as a 3yo, hasn't fired on two starts this season but pobably had excuses, was top class as a juvenile and not sure ths is the strongest of Gr 3 races
Will see the next two out though the Gr 1 is a cracker with Bow Echo and Gstaad in action. Last two races will take my chances each way with a couple of Hail Mary's
R6 Ardius Invicta at 28/1 was running pretty well in higher grades last season, not much to shout about of late but rating is coming down
R7 The Fingal Raven 25/1, trainer likes this one to land a big handicap at some stage, whether thats today or not is a long shot but Saffie Osborne is in top form and riding for her dad here.
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Don't like the look of most of the Goodwood card on Thursday but will have small interest in Birgham Dub in the first race, each way at 12/1. Apparantly well thought of by the yard but hasn't put it together in last couple of races but still lightly raced and plenty of time to come good,
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Just a few at the Vaal today:
Race 4 - Duke Of Lorraine (15/20). Yard could pick up where they left yesterday. She should have enough experience now, but formline of previous run is questionable. Echo Of The Wild (16/1), was backed when third in a workriders race last week. Worth an e/w. Vixeninthevineyard (14/1) found better form over this distance last time out and could place.
SW Box 2x5x6
Race 7 - Not much between Circle of Grace (12/1) and favorite, Itsnowornever, at the weights. Chasing some value here. Small e/w as Circle of Grace might be better over 1800m.
Race 8 - Time Will Tell (6/1) won once and placed second twice in 3 runs over C&D. He takes on stronger here. Favorite, Twentytwentyvision (13/10) runs against much weaker today, but hasn't been finishing his races off. Also Crawford yards 2nd last runner from their Randjiesfontein yard.
Race 9 - Lady Elliot (11/2) Stables only runner on the day. Good form over 1450m. Gavin Lerena booked to ride.
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Fairview last meeting of the season:
Race 1 - Money for Eternal Spirit (3/1) who over raced last time out. Nobody's Perfect (11/10) placed in both local starts but one gets the feeling that he should have won already. Exacta 3x4
Race 2 - Kaleesh Cyborg (1/1) should win this easily. Was fancied last time out, might have just needed that run. Peak run today.
Race 3 - Rock Up (5/1) has local form and should be a big runner with only 54.5 on his back. Favorite not at that price for me. Looks to need further. Swingers with Lovely Dancer (15/2), who has been running well lately. SW 4X9
Race 4 - Ravilious (11/2) won his last two over C&D and carries only 52kgs here. Stable had quite a few winners this month.
Race 5 - All Systems Go (17/20) contested much stronger and weighted to win this easily. Returns from a long rest. Will back up with Ventura Boulevard in the P6 should he go missing somehow.
Race 6 - Winteronthegreen (15/4) enjoys the poly. Only 54.5kgs to carry from draw 1.
Race 7 - Amanatto (9/2) loves C&D and should go close here receiving weight from most of the field. Open race, with the likes of Bel Canto Dream, who won when tipped last time and Hospices De Beaune also having chances. Royal Dawn (25/1) can make the quartet pay.
Race 8 - Lana View (4/1) is very versatile and doesn't know how to run a bad race. Well in at the weights.
Race 9 - Wide open, looks like a field race for the P6. If pressed for a bet, Preserve Forever (13/2) enjoys C&D. Formline of her last race looks decent.
That caps off the season. A massive thank you to Chris for the continuous hard work going into the threads as well as Southpaw and the rest of the contributors for your valuable and insightful contributions. May the new season bring lots of joy and even more winners!
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Still boxing on at Goodwood, got to dash out so afraid no comments but chancing these who are prominent in the betting.
R1 Defiantly
R3 Blue Brother
R4 Rumstar
R5 Haatem
R6 Clash of Hearts
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Race 1 - Jack's Legacy (12/10) raced green and got caught wide when fancied in a workriders race first time out. Trainer/Jockey combo one to follow. First timer, Greenhillsofjamaica (33/20), by Gimmethegreenlight, is a R500 000 half-brother to Pressonregardless and could be anything. Watch the betting!
Race 2 - Money for Sherlock Holmes (15/4), who was narrowly beaten by Prayersandpromises over C&D in February. Again the Peter/Matsunyane combo. Sakura Hanami (11/2) has the beating of Geostorm and One Tiger on paper and with the extra experience, could be the value of the race. Spies stable fancies Trompe L'Oeil (29/20). Could be anything, but formline of maiden win looks weak.
Race 3 - Lonely As A Cloud (23/10) ran a close 3rd to Umzingeli Wenyathi earlier and could surprise with only 49.5kgs on her back. Mrs Stormiatrix (31/20) wins her races with ease but carries 60.5kgs here. Only these two for my P6
Race 4 - Whistle The Tune (9/2) holds Almond Sea (21/10) on paper and was not disgraced in feature races over further recently. African Pride (11/2) was fancied at Greyville this past Sunday, but looks held by Mount Pinatubo (18/10). 1,2,3,4 for the P6.
Race 5 - Dual Prophecy (24/10) is weighted to turn it around with Guerilla Warfare (5/1). The form of that race is working out extremely well, with three winners from 5 runners. Dark Silver (3/1) has good form over 2000m and is 1 from 1 over this distance with apprentice Samo-Burthia on. 1,2,5,6 for the P6
Have to run. Will post rest later
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Earlier I will probably go with R3 Mount Pinatubo though you can give chances to others so would hope to see a drift from 18/10 or so.
Going to look at the last day of Goodwood and will post later
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Race 6 - Imported Mission To Mars (9/20) shed his maiden very well last time out and looks set to contest much bigger things this season. Swingers with Royal Edition (12/1) who is 1/1 with Gavin Lerena and was twice beaten under a length by The Playboy Bomber over this trip. RE also better off at the weights with TPB.
Race 7 - With Chris on Harun Al Rashid (33/10) who should turn it around with Sky Pilot (3/1). Ideal Summer (11/1) has been backed in his last three starts and could surprise. Orange County (5/1) is always thereabouts, but might be best over 1800m.
Race 8 - Rising Eagle (1/1) comes with a big reputation. Won well on debut and has bigger things to come. Banker for me. Michael Faraday (33/1) is dropping in rating and won his last start over 1400m.
PA: 4,6 x 1,7 x 2,3 x 1,5 x 5 x 3,5 x 4 = R32
P6: 1,7 x 1,2,3,4 x 1,2,4,6 x 5 x 1,2,3,5 x 4 = R128
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On to Sunday and Scottsville, Winning Form Preview available here
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