Rugby Champs Week 4, Currie Cup Semi-finals, NPC Week 7

NZ vs SA over 47.5 pts @ 9/10

In the always interesting Pro D2 I go with:

Provence -15.5 ha @1.90 2u
Vannes -5.5 ha @1.90 2u

In the first one Biarritz fields a second string team, Provence going strong I see nothing but a BO win for the home side, three score difference in my opinión.
Vannes with a mixed compo but still very strong, MDM very light up front and with a very old half pair. Expect Vannes to avoid a red card that would make three in a row. For me they are two scores stronger than MDM so value here.

I have to make a deep analysis of the other marches but Colomiers rotate heavily as well as Carcassonne.

I will be on a new laptop tonight so hopefully no drama 

See you live at 21h00 for THE HANDICAP 

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Hi guys,
It's been a long time since I posted to the forum. I've been on a horrible run which has started to change to green over the last 4 weeks
So courage in my mouth, here goes..

Waikato 1-12 vs North Harbour @ 2.95 (1 unit) at Sunbet.
Good luck to all, I think this new home is the berries, thanks Chris and Brent.

OK, so tomorrow's sparrow-farters i've put equal (1 unit ea) on 1-12 each BOP, and Taranaki.
And I'm drooling for the women's games to come (here I would normally put a beer glass and that old grinning letcher with the wild eyes) but I expect it's still in development.
So cheers, for now.

I'm on Waikato -10.5. 

Confidence already shot though after throwing yesterdays profit on the RL last night. Leeds -23.5 and they went on to lose ffs ...............

Hopefully can get the weekend off to a winning start by backing Waikato to win outright against North Harbour (NPC) and Western Force +7.5 against the Tahs (Super Rugby Aus)
Double comes to 11/10 with Supersportbet

Of course, Harbour choose this weekend to play out of their skins .......

Harbour good for their lead on the hour no complaints there. Though the ref seems to take great delight in penalising the home side.

Arse.

Going with these
SA +13.5/o41.5 @1.83
Arg +2.5 1st half @1.87

Toulouse -24.5 ha @1.90 2u

ST with some big returns expected for Saturday match (Willis, Kinghorn, Marchand) and Big compo expected. Usap with some important injuries (Mcintyre, Tuilagi, Tedder, Velarte, Hall) and didnt look great against AB. With compos expected this should be at least a 4 scores difference for the home side.

Oyonnax -4.5 MT @ 1.78

MT?

BigRassie wrote:

MT?

Half time in French (mi-temps).

Clear forward pass in MDM first try and didnt look at It, usual french referee performance.

Southpaw wrote:

NZ vs SA over 47.5 pts @ 9/10

Sticking with overs theme for AUS v ARG and joining Brent on overs total points - over 52.5 @ 10/11 

My bet doesn't go through, Oyonnax leads 14-0 and finds itself leading 14 - 21 at halftime

Top14 Teams www.allrugby.com/news/top-14-2026-j2-compos-3259.html

Blatant forward pass waved on saves the day!!

Jameson wrote:

Blatant forward pass waved on saves the day!!

Part of the swings 'n roundabouts.
How many times calls went against us, this one is good for the morale. 

Well done to the over 52.5 merchants , I thankfully took some under 54.5 in running but was sweating like a rapist those last few seconds. I thought the last try by Aussies was begun with a huge forward pass which was hardly scrutinised by the TMO. 
Was stiff last night with the Vanees unders , last try by Vannes from a line out should have been disallowed due lifter in front of ball taker . 
Referring is becoming so crucial and consistency is still the issue IMO. It generally evens itself out but can still be very frustrating. 
In Wellington , the ref is an unders one and have enjoyed watching the total rise a few points , unders at 50.5 , windy conditions expected. 
Don't like this Bok side named but still prefer them , may look to take a bigger plus if NZ score early . 

Very disappointing Vannes yesterday, plenty of silly errors. They still had one chance at 74th minute but another silly error killed the bet.

Today I keep ST -24.5 and I add Over52.5 in Montauban-Lou @2 2u

Nice weather and Montauban was very nice to watch in Paris, also leaking a lot. The golden boy Bosviel starts at 10 and I have faith that can make this an over match. Lou first half against Racing was superb but second half was very poor, concern is that Lou defence was strong that keep Racing only at 7 points but also take into account the weak team Racing fielded. For me this line should be around 55 points so value in the over.