All Racing Tips w/c 17th August

This weeks local racing kicks off with Greyville (poly) on Tuesday followed by the Vaal on Wednesday. Thursday is blank and then there is a polytrack double header at Fairview and Greyville on Friday. Saturday is Durbanville and Sunday is Scottsville. 

Top racing in the UK Wednesday to Saturday with the Ebor Festival at York so will take a look at that as well.

Previews and picks to follow and all this week's racing tips are most welcome on this thread

Greyville Tuesday, a couple of others I'm tempted by so might add to these early picks in the morning.

Race 3 Your Ladyship at 5/1, ran well last 2 on this surface from wide draws and pole position today. MR sliding and  useful 2.5kg claimer on board 
Race 6 One Path at 7/2, ticks a few boxes, connections also had a winner here on Friday 
Race 8 Thought Control at 3/1. The least exposed of these runners, form of latest win franked

Competitive racing on the Greyville polytrack today. 

Race 1 - Ayzal (12/10) bumped an above average first timer last time. Was still very green and can only improve. Bellanca Viking (9/2) ran over the same distance that day when finishing 4th in a slower time than Ayzal. She can only also improve on that run and is one I would follow next time over further. SW 2x3

Race 2 - The Flat Cat (3/1) is showing good improvement and having his peak run after a +-80 day rest. Two winners from previous run (Old Harry Rocks and Skipper Zip) when just over a length 4th to Tickey Box. I have fancied In The Red (9/1) at bigger odds before. Hung in last time, second run after a 3 month rest today. Platinum Grey (29/20) formlines hasn't exactly stood up that well for me. 

Race 3 - A few with a positive weight swing to consider. I agree with Chris, Your Ladyship (28/10) from draw one with apprentice Louw claiming a further 2.5kgs.

Race 4 - Ultra Quick (4/1) won his last three starts over 1600m, including 2 over C&D. Jockey de Melo in red hot form and deadly on the polytrack. Respect for Hoodia (21/20) who is having his peak run and placed in both starts on poly behind talented horses. 

Race 6 - Praise De La Rey (3/1) is in form, earning a stake cheque in his last 8 runs. Won maiden over C&D. The stable is very confident. Heard the song on radio last night for the first time in ages, could be an omen  .

Race 7 - Close at the weights. Champagne Mac (23/10) is having his peak run in KZN and should win if takes to the poly. Also jockey strike with Serino Moodley now taking over from apprentice Sesingi. Respect for Trafalgar Square (33/10).

Race 8 - Again close at the weights for a few runners. I'm taking a chance with Lou Lou (6/1 e/w) who plummets in class after lining up in feature races against the likes of Quickstepgal and Keukenhof recently. She only carries 54.5kgs and jockey Venniker knows her well. Think it was Southpaw or KT who pointed out a few weeks ago what strong record the Roberts yard have in the final race of a meeting. 

Feel like crying. In The Red won race 2 with ease @ odds of 9/1. Rookie mistake by not sticking to a horse tipped in its previous run, no matter what the odds! This horse ran under a length 2nd to Kazenoyoni in its 2nd start and then had excuses behind the likes of Eric Dubois and Rich Man's World after that. I wasn't impressed with his last run behind Gimme A Fireball(Another horse rated by its stable) and decided not today.

Bit of a result in Race 4 with Ultra Quick, who was totally unfancied in the market by race time, and Hoodia both missing the P/A. 

In the Red, Rachel for Doug Campbell another pointer Jacques, I swerved that race but would probably have also gone Flat Cat who was backed. I hit the post twice and got Thought Control in but feels like I missed out overall on Tuesday.

Vaal on Wednesday just the two for me and not with much confidence in all honesty.but can't get hurt at the prices. 

Race 6 Diwali Rocket at 7/1. Has a wide gate to overcome but should enjoy the step back up to 1800m after taking on stronger over 7 furlongs last time.

Race 7 Naretoi each way at 20/1. No show last time but some weight turnarounds from previous runs put him in with a squeak. MR dropping and regular jockey back on board.

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You were extremely unlucky with One Path Chris, he looked a winner all the way. Well picked. Hope someone took the swinger with our picks, One Path and Praise De La Rey which paid a generous R4.30. We missed out indeed.

Vaal Wednesday:
Race 2 - Handsome Badger (23/10) is a R1 million half brother to Bristol Hercules. The de Kock yard have been sending out some good 3yo of late including the impressive Reckless Abandon this past Sunday. Campo Formio (25/10) is racing week in, week out dropping back to 1400m today. Champion jockey Craig Zackey takes the ride for the first time. He ran a close 4th in his only run over this trip and should win soon. The Spies yard have already send out 3 winners and plenty of places this month so he is in with a chance. I have fancied him before and won't leave him out today just to possibly suffer the same fate as with In The Red yesterday. Steel Pier (3/1) had winners in front and behind him in his previous races. Last run in a workriders he was found not striding out and blowing. He could also get closer to the action. Boxed SW/TF 3x4x6

Race 3 - Takeachanceonme (11/4) earned a stake cheque in all 5 of her starts thus far. Korcula (23/20) drops back 600m in distance. I'm not a fan of such big drop in distance, the formlines of her two runs over 1400m and 1450m doesn't appeal to me. Won't be surprised if this race throws a big result. 

Race 4 - Future Red (13/20) was quietly fancied when 3rd on local debut behind the talented Hot Choice. She should improve and rates the horse to beat. I'll chase some value by backing Echo Of The Wild (15/4) who was badly interfered with leaving the 200m in his last run. He was also found making an abnormal respiratory noise that day. The step up in trip shouldn't be a problem and I feel he could turn the tables with Uncle Bob (14/10). SW/EX 6x4

Race 5 - Titans Of War (36/10) is the Magner yard's only runner on the day and one of only three for jockey of the moment, Keegan de Melo. The combo enjoyed some success recently with Master's Lady and is one I will follow closely. Formbook suggests Titans Of War needs further than the 1800m today, could this be a prep run for a bigger race later? King's Express (9/2) has been racing against stronger, good form over 1800m and won for jockey, Samo-Burthia before. Olympian Gold (31/20) won after returning from a 3 month rest last time out. He has earned a stake cheque in all 8 of his career starts, his strongest task to date. Certainly up to it as the yard is also in top form.

Race 6 - Culturati (4/1) won a competitive race returning from a rest last time out. He should improve and will be a big runner with the aid of the apprentice claim. 

Race 7 - Unsolved Riddle (8/1) comes from the Culturati formline. He has decent form over 1600m and could be the e/w value of the race. Interesting to see Keegan de Melo riding Redlightgreenlight (34/10) for the Peter stable. Redlightgreenlight was slapped with a MR of 88 after winning his maiden, but has steadily dropped to a competitive 76. Not much between him and Snow Moon (7/1) at the weights. Golden Warrior (18/1) contested graded races earlier and his MR fell from 105 to 79 in less than a year. He could also become competitive soon. SW 3x7

Race 8 - Bell Of Angelus (7/1) won over 1000m last time out, I feel 1200m is his best trip. He narrowly beat Sergeant Soqrat that day, who came out and ran a credible 2nd to Trompe L'Oeil last Thursday. The Webber yard has 4 runners in the race and I'm not sure what to make of the jockey bookings. He carries only 48kgs as apprentice Botes takes the ride. There has been money for Valieva (5/1 from 7/1), who has been racing against stronger and dropped in rating. She has been competitive off this rating before. SW/Box EX 5x13

Thanks Jacques, I'm going to York. A few thoughts.

R1 Starting with a Hail Mary, West Acre is way overpriced at 50/1 imo on best form, blew start last time so that is best ignored.

Races 2,3 and 4, fancied runners look hard to beat, hard to see past the first 3 or so in the betting but I'm undecided as to whether to get involved. Looking forward to seeing Ombudsman either way. 

Race 5 Small Fry probably a worthy fav on last run but would have hoped for a bigger price in such a competitive big field handicap, Two at each way prices, Manxman 14/1 (returning from a very long break but has gone well fresh in the past), Kilmeaden (irish raider) 25/1, good run last time out a few days back, each way shout if this does n't come too soon.

Race 6 Two I like here, Poatan at 11/1, trainer saying needs soft, rain has arrived but perhaps not as much as will be needed but unless they scratch it late I'll be involved. Also like Underwriter each way at 14/1 based on good last run at huge odds. 

Race 7 Ending with another Hail Mary, Savage Mariner, cracking debut run behind a top sort, two shockers since but just on that debut run alone I'm thinking this one is worth including each way at all of 33/1

Joy at the Vaal on Wednesday with Diwalie Rocket winning at 25/2 but had a nightmare at York.

On to Friday, will deal with Fairview first and then work on Greyville.


Race 3 Green Point at 5/2. Often backed but yet to deliver the win, wide draw to overcome but should be running on at the death and maybe this is his day.
Race 4 To Late My Mate at 9/4. Two good runs in ECP since relocating, running on well on both occasions and with a better draw (gate 3) today can get her head in front this time
Race 8 White Waters at 11/2, good win last time and a danger in this grade when in the right mood

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Friday under the lights at Greyville


Race 1 Floral Kingdom at 2/1. Boasts the best form of the raced runners (1st timer to keep an eye on). Form of last run franked, up in trip should suit and de Melo riding.
Race 2 Next of Kin at 3/1, consistent, proven on poly
Race 4 I Am Classy at 10/1, worth an each way nibble back on poly, MR has been dropping
Race 5 Queue Wing at 9/2, 9yo veteran, tough and versatile, has been taking on stronger, enjoys poly
Race 6 King’s Island 25/1 each way, bounce back required as has been out of form but rating is falling and has won 3 over track and trip

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On to Durbanville Saturday


Race 3 Clark Griswold at 7/2. Up in class but could prove more than equal to the task with the step up to a mile sure to suit for an in form yard.
Race 5 All Is Green, 2/1 to run in the first 3. Comes up against some likely improvers but was rated 82 just over 12 months ago (69 today) and is also down in class
Race 8 Eisteddfod at 11/2, consistent filly, has won at this track and now up in trip which could be what she is looking for. Trainer has started season in good form

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will try 2 for an interest on card - 

K7 - Man of Consequence @ 33/1 ew. feels big given stable comments fairly positive, and jock being doing well for yard at biggish prices.

K8 - Mighty Mary @ 10/1 ew. should have won penultimate run, last effort below par but this is sort of field she can go well in.

 

Tough going last couple of days. Perhaps missed out on United Front at Durbanville, one that's been followed on here before and I usually stick with them but it didn't stand out to me. On to Scottsville on Sunday. Alec Laird sending a few down.


Race 2 After two promising efforts Sistership (28/10) has been off the course for 393 days so it’s interesting she has come to KZN for her reappearance. Visiting trainer looks to have chances on the day and could hit the target here.
Race 4 Celtic Moon at 4/1. Multiple winners have come out of her debut run and there are excuses for more recent run. The extra distance here is also a plus.
Race 5 Soho Star at 4/1. Lightly raced in 2026, excellent course record puts him in the mix.
Race 6 Son Of Rafeef each way at 20/1. Second run after gelding, some useful early form lines for this lightly raced 4yo were franked. Of interest dropping back in trip
Race 7 Bruh each way at 16/1.   In and out performer but has won over track and trip and on best form can be involved
Race 8 Ideal Summer at 4/1. Now rated 81 having been a 93 and has been taking on stronger on the highveld.

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Apologies for not posting the last couple of days. Missed out on Viva Asterix yesterday!

Scottsville
Race 1 - Barry's Boy (9/2 E/W) been close up in all three local starts to date. Tries Scottsville for the first time. Not a easy race as a few have claims. Top 3 place bet @19/20 Watch the betting on the two first timers. AMC Roy On Fire (7/1) was third behind Benny And Paul on debut at any price. Run George Run (20/1) improved last race and could sneak in to quartets.

Race 2 - Interstellar (30/1 E/W) raced very green on debut, can only improve. Trainer/jockey combo in hot form. If he can sneak a top 6 place @ 35/20, we cover the win bet and end up with profit. Watch the betting on Quite A Day (28/10) who is a half sister to One Fine Winter. 

Race 3 - Vivien (11/2) is a half sister to King Pelles. She could repeat the effort of Viva Asterix (full brother to Viva's Liberte) yesterday and win first time out. There was talk for Periwinkle (18/10) when 3rd behind Hazel Green on debut. Pink Skies (4/1) finished not too far behind the likes of Green Energy and Master Magician before a break. 2nd run after a rest here, but chance if that doesn't catch her out. SW 4x5

Race 4 - Predator's Crown (24/10) steps up in trip and third run after a rest. Celtic Moon (34/10) is another who steps up in trip. Two good runs to date with both formlines working out quite nicely. 

Race 5 - Soho Star (5/1) has never missed the placings in 9 starts over C&D including 3 wins. Latest run over C&D ended in a 2.7 length 4th behind the promising Hah Lah Lah, giving him 4kgs. Has raced against stronger before.

Race 6 - One Dance (13/1 E/W) has missed the placings in only one of her 12 career runs to date. Best form is over 1200m and tries Scottsville for the first time today. A top 5 place @ 21/20 would cover the win bet. Scots Wae Hae (24/10) is rated and won well on debut. Could be anything first time out of the maidens. Luneluck (19/2) ran a good 3rd behind Blazing Fury, who came out and won again, last time over a distance probably 200m too short. Blazing Fury could be aimed at a feature race in the coming month so thats a formline to follow. Step up in trip should suit.

Race 7 - City Of Love (10/1) tries the trip but enjoys Scottsville. Command Pilot (12/1) has run well at Scottsville before including finishing 2.5 lengths behind I Salute You. 2nd run after a rest could catch him out. Hail mary swinger on these two could return a double digit payout. SW 3x8

Race 8 - Master Bomber (9/2) has a positive 3.5kg swing with Charlie Bucket (18/10). I'll try swingers and boxed exactas with Ideal Summer (5/1) who is steadily dropping in rating and has some form over 1600m. SW/Box Ex 1x9

Place treble (Top 3 places)

Barry's Boy x Celtic Moon x Soho Star
48/10

JacquesT wrote:

Apologies for not posting the last couple of days. Missed out on Viva Asterix yesterday!

Scottsville
Race 1 - Barry's Boy (9/2 E/W) been close up in all three local starts to date. Tries Scottsville for the first time. Not a easy race as a few have claims. Top 3 place bet @19/20 Watch the betting on the two first timers. AMC Roy On Fire (7/1) was third behind Benny And Paul on debut at any price. Run George Run (20/1) improved last race and could sneak in to quartets.

Race 2 - Interstellar (30/1 E/W) raced very green on debut, can only improve. Trainer/jockey combo in hot form. If he can sneak a top 6 place @ 35/20, we cover the win bet and end up with profit. Watch the betting on Quite A Day (28/10) who is a half sister to One Fine Winter. 

Race 3 - Vivien (11/2) is a half sister to King Pelles. She could repeat the effort of Viva Asterix (full brother to Viva's Liberte) yesterday and win first time out. There was talk for Periwinkle (18/10) when 3rd behind Hazel Green on debut. Pink Skies (4/1) finished not too far behind the likes of Green Energy and Master Magician before a break. 2nd run after a rest here, but chance if that doesn't catch her out. SW 4x5

Race 4 - Predator's Crown (24/10) steps up in trip and third run after a rest. Celtic Moon (34/10) is another who steps up in trip. Two good runs to date with both formlines working out quite nicely. 

Race 5 - Soho Star (5/1) has never missed the placings in 9 starts over C&D including 3 wins. Latest run over C&D ended in a 2.7 length 4th behind the promising Hah Lah Lah, giving him 4kgs. Has raced against stronger before.

Race 6 - One Dance (13/1 E/W) has missed the placings in only one of her 12 career runs to date. Best form is over 1200m and tries Scottsville for the first time today. A top 5 place @ 21/20 would cover the win bet. Scots Wae Hae (24/10) is rated and won well on debut. Could be anything first time out of the maidens. Luneluck (19/2) ran a good 3rd behind Blazing Fury, who came out and won again, last time over a distance probably 200m too short. Blazing Fury could be aimed at a feature race in the coming month so thats a formline to follow. Step up in trip should suit.

Race 7 - City Of Love (10/1) tries the trip but enjoys Scottsville. Command Pilot (12/1) has run well at Scottsville before including finishing 2.5 lengths behind I Salute You. 2nd run after a rest could catch him out. Hail mary swinger on these two could return a double digit payout. SW 3x8

Race 8 - Master Bomber (9/2) has a positive 3.5kg swing with Charlie Bucket (18/10). I'll try swingers and boxed exactas with Ideal Summer (5/1) who is steadily dropping in rating and has some form over 1600m. SW/Box Ex 1x9

EDIT

Race 3 - Vivien. Stable comments - Should be very green. Stable more confident on runners in first two races as per Deez on live TV.

Only bet Scottsville , Predators Affair Race 4 .