Investec Champions Cup Rd 1, Cape Town Svns + other rugby 5-7 December

The URC made a 1 week return and there were more losers than winners for me although the Lions win at 11/2 insured there was no serious damage - click here for the URC wrap 

Somehow I sucked myself into thinking Wales +42.5 was a good play and I cannot really argue with the chap who replied to my newsletter saying "your prediction was a joke"   it wasn't a prediction but my word it was a bad bet 

This week the focus is on the Champions Cup and Challenge Cup and a blog will be up tomorrow morning latest. I am not going to have a go at handicapping these as don't have a good feel for Gallagher and Top 14 teams. 

There is also the South Africa Svns 

Have a good week and I look forward to your thoughts 

The Investec Champions Cup blog is up and running with the current pools and outright betting 

 

The Investec Champions Cup blog is up and running with the current pools and outright betting as well as the early handicaps 

Bayonne +2.5 v Stormers
Sale Sharks -2.5 v Glasgow
Saracens -11.5 v Clermont
Bulls +1.5 v Bordeaux-Bègles
La Rochelle -10.5 v Leicester
Leinster -20.5 v Harlequins
Bath -9.5 v Munster
Scarlets +7.5 v Bristol
Pau +2.5 v Northampton
Toulouse -30.5 v Sharks
Gloucester -7.5 v Castres
Edinburgh +3.5 v Toulon  

First play this week for me is Toulouse -30 3u

I assume sharks will not be playing their Boks (definitely not etzebeth anyways) and Toulouse shouldn’t have much bother putting 50 on a depleted team with mentality problems

Could see dupont starting for the first time after his return off the bench on Saturday night

Toulouse -30.5 ha @1.90 2u

Taken earlier, I see a demolishing job by ST here, line to me in the 40's.

TheAdmiral wrote:

First play this week for me is Toulouse -30 3u

I assume sharks will not be playing their Boks (definitely not etzebeth anyways) and Toulouse shouldn’t have much bother putting 50 on a depleted team with mentality problems

Could see dupont starting for the first time after his return off the bench on Saturday night

I reckon it could by a 50, and therefor taken available -35.5 with a smile.
Will make it a 'banker' too, although only with Sunday games.

Brent Graham wrote:

The URC made a 1 week return and there were more losers than winners for me although the Lions win at 11/2 insured there was no serious damage - click here for the URC wrap 

Somehow I sucked myself into thinking Wales +42.5 was a good play and I cannot really argue with the chap who replied to my newsletter saying "your prediction was a joke" 

 it wasn't a prediction but my word it was a bad bet 

This week the focus is on the Champions Cup and Challenge Cup and a blog will be up tomorrow morning latest. I am not going to have a go at handicapping these as don't have a good feel for Gallagher and Top 14 teams. 

There is also the South Africa Svns 

Have a good week and I look forward to your thoughts 



If he said nothing before the game. And only something after the only joke is him.

Nothing worse than a aftertimer.
 

So, the weekend starts early and there is an opportunity to get the 1st loss in with Colomiers (-12.5) v Grenoble. Points line is 48.5. Its on youtube.

Pablo??

PS looks like there will be light rain about.

Jameson wrote:

So, the weekend starts early and there is an opportunity to get the 1st loss in with Colomiers (-12.5) v Grenoble. Points line is 48.5. Its on youtube.

Pablo??

PS looks like there will be light rain about.

Nothing there to me, i have Colo as 11 points favourites and 49 points expected so no value.

• A great weekend in store and hopefully a winning one too ! 

Tomorrow Bayonne host the Stormers , tight game as the betting suggests, Points low at 42.5 and rain expected. Hoping I can get 44.5 tomorrow somewhere , keeping an eye on the weather of course . Going lows for bigs . 

Small bit of value for the Sale Sharks at home at plus 5.5 , but not confident . 

Ulster at home to a weak Racing 92 , always very difficult what to make of these games , Racing I feel though if they at least try the plus 19.5 could be a stand out . 

More to come. 

 

Champions Cup blog updated with 1st bet 

Bayonne and over 42.5 at 2.35/1 

 

Pablo , In the French D2 tonight , is there any value in vannes -10 away to carcassonne. Top v bottom 

Coil wrote:

• A great weekend in store and hopefully a winning one too ! 

I sometimes get lucky in these European cups, because I follow all of the comps.
Like I got Colomiers right last night in rhe ProD2 as the banker for 2 4x multis.
Anyway, so as not to be a chicken, I'm sticking my head above the parapet, and, heart in mouth, I've punted these so far as handicap beaters;

• Stormers for the win.
• Bath -12.5
• Bristol -7.5
• Toulousse -35.5

These are the best I've got, and I've gone 3 units on each (my units go to 4)
Good luck Amigos
Also for tonight in Challege cup:

• Ulster/Racing 92 - 2 units over 52.5 @ 2.02

I'll also punt LIONS (Up to -33.5) and Black Lion too.
These all just my bets - and not in any way to be considered  as TIPS.
Best of luck lads
 

Pro D 2 action


-Valence to beat Biarritz, and the draw, 3.35, 2 units

-Carcassonne to beat Vannes, and the draw, 5.25, 1.2 units

-Dax to beat Nevers, and the draw, 8.50, 1 unit 

BigRassie wrote:

Pablo , In the French D2 tonight , is there any value in vannes -10 away to carcassonne. Top v bottom 

My fancies are Valence +8, Vannes -10 and Oyo +5 but I'm on vacation and didnt have time to take a proper look on prod2 so I stay away this weekend. Just focused on Champions and Challenge.

I'm on unders 45.5 in Bayonne, I think the rain has stopped but more rain expected around halfway through the game .... it's a grass pitch as far as I am aware . 

I'm on Racing plus 24.5 at 4/5 .