URC Rd 14, Super Rugby Pacific, Varsity Cup + other rugby 23-29 March

A small profit for me on Super Rugby but not a great weekend in the URC and I finished down overall 

URC and SRP are back this weekend and we also have Varsity Cup lines for tomorrow. 

CUT +12.5 v UJ
Maties -6.5 v NWU Eagles
UFS Shimlas +0.5 v UCT Ikeys
UP-Tuks -36.5 v Emeris

Here are my Super Rugby Pacific handicap projections 

Moana Pasifika +16.5 v Highlanders
Brumbies -11.5 v Waratahs
Hurricanes -8.5 v Reds
Blues -22.5 v Fijian Drua
Western Force +9.5 v Chiefs

Have a good week everyone! 
 

Hoping to start this week with a flyer!

Varsity Cup - CUT v UJ
UJ have struggled on the road thus far and a quick glance at their H2H history showed that one has to go all the way back to 2018 for the last UJ win in this fixture.

CUT +15.5 @ 19/20
CUT Win @ 46/10 - Both with BetXchange

Tuks v Emeris
Under 84.5 points 87/100 @ Sunbet 
Tuks to win by 31-40 points 48/10 @ Sunbet (Half unit)
 

SRP handicaps in brackets next to mine 

Moana Pasifika +16.5 (+15.5) v Highlanders
Brumbies -11.5 (-11.5) v Waratahs
Hurricanes -8.5 (-14.5) v Reds
Blues -22.5 (-20.5)v Fijian Drua
Western Force +9.5 (+14.5)  v Chiefs

3 of them very close but big differences in the Hurricanes and Force  matches 

Here are the early URC handicaps 

 Sharks -20.5 v Cardiff Rugby
Leinster -21.5 v Scarlets
Glasgow Warriors -17.5 v Benetton Treviso
Bulls -11.5 v Munster
Connacht Rugby -8.5 v Ospreys
Lions -19.5 v Dragons
Stormers -19.5 v Edinburgh Rugby
Zebre +10.5 v Ulster

Frustrating end to the CUT v UJ match. CUT miss touch when only 2 points behind with 7 minutes left to play. The wheels come off, UJ score twice to beat the cap on the nose.

Great performance by Emeris, who nearly beat Tuks in Pretoria. A debut season to remember for the men from Durban.

Hope for a better weekend where I fancy quit a few + caps in both Super Rugby and URC.

My SRP fancies for the week after team announcements:

Moana +15.5 vs Highlanders
also taking U/64.5 in the same game with the rain predicted.

Brumbies to cover the -11.5 vs the Tahs

U/63.5 in the Force vs Chiefs game

The riskier ones I'm still thinking about. Drua to stay within +20.5 vs Blues, and the U/57.5

SRP blog updated 

Moana over 23.5 at 0.94/1 
Under 56.5 Brumbies v Waratahs at 0.92./1 

URC Blog Updated 

Under 48.5 Sharks v Cardiff 

Super Rugby
Moana v Highlanders
Moana + 14.5. Just can't back the Highlanders on such a large cap. Highlanders have won only 3 of their last 20 matches away from home (Twice v Moana and once v Waratahs) and didn't cover this cap any of those three. De Groot and Tavatavanavai ruled out late. 

Brumbies v Waratahs
Brumbies -12.5
Anytime Try Scorer - Charlie Cale 12/10. Happy to take anything over evens on a player who scores regularly. 
Waratahs Total Points Under 21.5 88/100 @ Pokerbet

I like Newcastle to score a few points at home v Exeter tonight.
Line is between 19.5 and 21.5pts

Newcastle scored 27pts away to Northampton last wkend.
Maybe they found some rhythm during the  6N?

Edit: Brutal
F**&%kng Brutal

Things going tits up with the Sharks v Cardiff unders - see you in a few months Brent ?! :-o

EDIT: GREAT CALL BRENT!!!! lol Didnt see that 2nd half coming!!  Free beer!

Welcome back!!

LOL yes at half time things didn't look good 

URC Blog Updated with Bulls bet 

Over 53.5 points at 0.88 - even with a chance of showers I think this will move out and I already see some 56.5 although and presuming it is heading out and didn't open at 56.5 and moving in 

Joining you Brent on Bulls Munster overs, my only concern is ref.

over 53.5 @ 5/6

also - Edinburgh over 15.5 @ evens. Expecting a bounce back from them. 

Lions over 36.5? not fired yet, will see how Bulls game goes first. 

 

I have gone under 56.5 at 0.92/1 in Lions v Dragons 

Reckon pitch will break up a bit and rain never far away at the moment