All Racing Tips w/c 26th October

Feature season on the Highveld and in the Western Cape is upon with this weekend seeing the Grade 2 Charity Mile, a couple of Grade 3 events and some listed races at Turffontein on Saturday and 2 more features when racing returns to Kenilworth on Sunday.

In midweek we have Durbanville on Wednesday, Vaal on Thursday and the Friday double header of Fairview and Greyville.

Grateful for all your input for what should be a cracking start to the season proper.

Thanks Chris. Looking forward to the feature season and will try to be more active on the forum with the bets.

Been keeping an eye while not betting much and pleased to see how well you, JT, South, KT and Coil are doing 

I wanted to get your guys opinion before racing gets underway later this week.

How do you handle your backed horse drifting?
Do you back it again at bigger odds before race time?
Or do you hedge/leave it alone as you are then worried about the drift and bookies knowing something that punters don't?

Hey Vin, many thanks, yeah we have a quality core of racing punters on here, there is always someone in form and the more the merrier for the season ahead.

Regarding drifters I've had a couple recently that more than trebled in price and won. I do respect money whether its horses shortening or drifting but personally I would tend to leave it alone and just accept the situation rather than hedge or top up. I guess if your watching and your horse is misbehaving or goes down to the start badly then the sensible option would be to take some cover but if all looks well then I wouldn't alter my position.

Onwards and upwards for the season to come mate

 

Hi Vin, thanks always trying my best. Some arrive, some still running

I think Chris summed it up well with regards to runners drifting. I also leave it, if it loses, it loses. There are days where the late money arrives, but I feel its just too risky for us following from far and becomes a guessing game to whether the money is spot on or not. Personally, if you like a horse, back it. Been put off many fancies due to positive comments for other runners and then my original fancy arrives. Nothing worse than being put off a horse because it drifted in price and then arrives in style. 

 

good to hear from you Vin!

i agree with chris and jt, i tend to just let it ride if a horse drifts, but if there's a horse i really fancied i will go and recheck my justification and sometimes i'll be even more convinced and have an additional nibble at a bigger price. Some yards i watch out for in this scenario, eg. Tarry drifters can often still win, whereas some smaller yards if their horses drift they often tend to run accordingly.

Thanks for the thoughts guys. I also agree with what all of you say, and prefer to let the bet ride. 

Looking forward to the big ones this weekend. Good to see that French jockey, Mickaelle Michel is back in SA, so will def need to add her horses in your plays, as she looks a class above many of our jockeys.

Agree Vin, big fan of Mickaelle, going with her in the first at Durbanville on Wednesday, some tricky little races mind you so small stakes and keep some ammo for the weekend. Could only find one roughie of interest.

Race 1 Stitchintime at 17/10, penny dropped later stages of debut running onto into 2nd, will know more today and jumps from gate 1 with an excellent 1.5kg claimer riding, early days for that form-line but could prove to be useful
Race 2 Tag And Release at 14/10. Useful juvenile form, 3rd run after gelding, back up to 1250 should suit, de Melo up
Race 4 Hero’s Journey at 9/4. Another with very useful juvenile form, getting plenty of weight from some rival today, good comeback run over 1250 here last time and won’t mind step up in trip
Race 5 Saachi One each way at 25/1. Wide gate to contend with but chance on a couple of collateral form lines, mark easing and a 4kg claimer
Race 8 October Rush at 9/10. Prominent in betting when green on debut, decent after 2nd run and should be spot on today, yard only has 2 runners on day and this one looks tough to beat


Tipsters Sheet

Racing Hub