Our featured English Premier League match taking place on Sunday sees in form Aston Villa head to Nottingham Forest
Forest
Forest come into the weekend program with 10 points from the same number of matches and that gives them a 5 point cushion over third bottom Luton. They have played just the 4 games and are unbeaten with 1 win (2-1 over Sheffield United) and 3 draws. Burnley, Brentford and Luton all took a point from score draws at this venue.
Villa
Villa's 3-1 home win over Luton last weekend saw them finish the round in fifth spot, just 4 points off the top of the log. They have been foot perfect at Villa Park with 5 straight wins this season whilst on the road they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Those defeats came at Newcastle (5-1) and Liverpool (3-0) whilst Villa have taken maximum points from visits to Burnley (3-1) and Chelsea (1-0) and they drew 1-1 at Wolves.
Recent Head to Head
This fixture finished 1-1 last season and Villa won the return 2-0 at Villa Park.
The Betting
At the time of writing Forest are trading at 3/1 to win the game with the draw priced at 28/10 and Villa can be backed at around 17/20
A game of 3 goals or more is priced at 0.73/1 and it's 7/10 for both teams to score
The Verdict:
I'm thinking Villa but not overly confident given Forest are unbeaten at home, albeit against sides not in the form Villa are right now.
I'll rather look deep into the exotics for a betting interest. Moussa Diaby is a real live wire for Villa, he cored and assisted last weekend and this time around I prefer his price to assist rather than score.
Referee Jarred Gillet has shown 1 red card and 13 yellows in 3 outings with the whistle, a healthy enough tally for me to have a look at the player specials (to get a card market) with Betway. Looking at his stats Forest's Ibrahim Sangare (4 yellows in 6 matches) is a likely lad for a booking.
Bets: Player Assists Moussa Diaby 1+ at 26/10 with Betway
Player to be carded, Ibrahim Sangare at 21/10 with Betway
Note, odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
GFTG Newsletter
Subscribe to our free weekly betting mailer which will include our best and value bets below.
