URC Round 5, Gallagher Prem, Top 14 + other rugby

I had a pretty good week in the URC with Edinburgh -7.5 (the newsletter bet) arriving and I also had nice wins on Ulster over 3.5 tries and over 57.5 in the Stormers game. 

The disappointment was Munster scoring late to ruin my under 13.5 play which looked as though it was going to survive more than a full half of being at risk. 

This week we have URC Round 5 and the blog is up and running with my handicap projections 
Connacht +7.5 v Leinster
Glasgow Warriors -11.5 v Lions
Stormers -12.5 v Ulster
Bulls -20.5 v Scarlets
Benetton +4.5 v Edinburgh
Munster -4.5 v Sharks
Dragons -9.5 v Zebre
Ospreys -5.5 v Cardiff

Let me know if anything stands out as an error 

There is also Gallagher Prem and Top 14 action 

My current handicap form not the best, but will take Ulster and Scarlets + should they open at that quote. Stormers defence disorganised without Ruhan Nel (not sure if he will be ready for this weekend) and now injury crisis at hooker as well. Scarlets took the game to the Stormers and can see them do the same against a Bulls side who also needs to work on their defence. International rugby starting Nov 7, so not sure how many of the Boks will be available this weekend.  

@JacquesT thanks for the heads up on potential team canges due to Internationals not being available - reckon these handicaps have to come with a disclaimer

I think Ospreys - Cardiff will open closer to pick

Brent Graham wrote:

@JacquesT thanks for the heads up on potential team canges due to Internationals not being available - reckon these handicaps have to come with a disclaimer

You're always accurate and in the mix with your caps Brent, match weeks before international break difficult to call.

Ulster team update v Stormers:

UNAVAILABLE due to national call-up - James McNabney, Jamie Benson, Tom O'Toole, Tom Stewart, Nick Timoney, Nathan Doak, Stuart McCloskey, Jacob Stockdale and Robert Baloucoune.

CALLED UP - Tom Brigg, Sam Crean, Jed Findlay, Rob Herring, James Hume, Martin Moloney and Zac Ward

The Handicap is live at 21h00 with a mystery 1st time guest! 

Click here to watch on You Tube 

Blog updated with Friday plays 

Over 46.5 at 0.94/1 Connacht v Leinster 

Lions win at 5/2 - done an about turn on this game 

So I had to research the URC matches to be a Guinea Pig for no money at all on some fantasy phantom league.  Worth taking a punt on

Leinster/Glasgow win  @  13/4

Geez given money that came for Connacht the bookies must of cleaned up on that Leinster game 

Points arrives at least but the Lions fall short 

I was buggered and fell asleep in the 1st half so saw very little of the matches

I see Bulls out to -30.5, really annoyed I didn't grab the early line as was confident it would move 

I am a bit confused on the Bulls line, there is -30.5 at Betx, -25.5 at WSB and I see -23.5 at Pokerbet 

URC Blog updated 

Bulls over 45.5 at 9/10 which is also the newsletter play 

Blog updated with a et in the Stormers game 

Stormers over 37.5 at 9/10 

Brent Graham wrote:

Blog updated with a et in the Stormers game 

Stormers over 37.5 at 9/10 

also going for stormers to score well but fancy a bigger odds play today to manage stakes. 

Stormers score over 2.5 tries in each half @ 5/2

 

This is looking good - Stormers 0 - 7 Ulcer after 30mins ffs.

Saints Gloucester over 63.5
mubster sharks over 47.5

double @ just under 11/4