URC Week 3, Gallagher Prem Week 3, NPC Quarters + other rugby

Pau o34.5 @1.83 2u

Fresh after last week rotation while Bayonne makes plenty of changes (still a strong lineup but with absences in key positions: Bosch, Cormenier, Moon, Bruni, Fischer, Germain, Tuilagi, Erbinartegaray). I like the shape of Bayonne squad but Pau looks pretty strong at home scoring big.

First bet of the weekend goes to the Top 14 and it's a very rare minus . The weather in Pau is decent and they go with a strong side , Bayonne normally don't travel well but have named a reasonable team , however I think Pau should prove too strong and I'm on minus 13.5 . 

URC Blog updated 

2 more bets added 

Ospreys by 21-30 at 3/1 
Dragons under 16.5 at 9/10 

 

Taken some Zebre plus 27.5 in running 

pablo wrote:

Pau o34.5 @1.83 2u

Bang on as always Pablo! I don't know how you do it. Cheers 

58th min Montpellier plus 21.5 

A nice little comeback with overs in Benetton scraping in after looking home and hosed at half time and the Ospreys 21-30 hanging on for dear life at the end 

Final bets up in blog 

Cardiff 1-12 at 6/4 
Ulster win 31/20 
Bulls/Ulster FT/HT at 7.8/1  

It's really disappointing this Glasgow side, second week facing a depleted side at home and doing nothing ...

Southpaw wrote:

took some Exeter + 8 @ 10/11, has shortened in a bit to +6.

i've added some Exeter win @ 5/2. 
 

if you want to see one side demonstrate how to somehow find a way to lose, then watch a replay of this match. 

main bet lands but really cannot believe the bonus win bet goes missing. 

The evil that is Saracens -6.5 !

and I wonder what the great Pablo thinks of tonight's French game??

I don't know why I don't just stick to Pablos tips.

I chucked the bulls to score a measily 10 points in all my accas and they went down in flames!! Luckily avoided betting the sharks game.

Im doing saracens and yellow card.

Im also doing Rams team points in the NFL later. And of course Pablos Toulouse tip from earlier in the week.

It's always dangerous on a Sunday with the choice of games very limited . In the Premiership , Quins host Sarries and the cap lies at 6.5. Quins have really struggled so far and their defence is shite to be honest . Sarries should manage this cap of -6.5 but I can't help but feel there might be a trap in waiting here . Sarries really need to put in a good performance and their aim is probably to get a losing bonus point perhaps which may make the cap vulnerable. I'll probably take a bet in running after getting a feel of the action. 

Later in France Bordeaux visit an under performing Toulouse. Conditions are good but UBB arrive with a weaker side . The cap now rests at minus 19.5 which Toulouse are fancied or more like expected to cover . However I think it's another potential bear trap and I'll muse over points and cap in the meantime. 

Coil, you're a harbinger of doom!

Got done on the overs in play there too - grim ......

I'm going to be eating just rice for the rest of the month unless I can pull something back this evening in France.